ETHIOPIA’S BIG LIES FUELING ITS IMPENDING COLLAPSE

Firstly, lies erode trust. Trust is the adhesive that holds relationships, institutions, and communities together. When lies form the basis of trust, they create cracks in the very fabric of that trust. This erosion of trust leads to a breakdown in communication and cooperation, ultimately weakening the structure as a whole.

Secondly, lies distort reality. Just as a building constructed on an unstable foundation will eventually show signs of wear and tear, a society or organization built on lies will manifest dysfunction and chaos. When the truth is obscured or manipulated, decision-making becomes skewed, and actions are based on faulty information. This can lead to unintended consequences and a failure to address underlying issues effectively.

Furthermore, lies breed insecurity and fear. In a system built on deception, individuals may constantly second-guess themselves and others, never truly feeling secure in their surroundings. This atmosphere of uncertainty can stifle development, creativity, and progress, as individuals are reluctant to take risks or challenge the status quo.

Ultimately, the collapse of any structure built on lies is not a matter of if, but when. Like a house of cards, it may appear stable for a time, but the slightest disturbance can cause it to come crashing down. When the truth is finally revealed, the consequences can be devastating, leaving behind a trail of broken relationships, shattered reputations, and irreparable damage.

In essence, the adage that “anything based on the foundation of lies will crumble” serves as a sobering reminder of the importance of honesty, transparency, and integrity in all aspects of life. Without these foundational principles, we risk building a world that is built on shifting sands, destined to collapse under the weight of its own deception.

In the geopolitical context, few examples illustrate the above adage as aptly as Ethiopia’s current predicament. Ethiopia stands as an empire constructed upon a bedrock of significant falsehoods, perpetuated by a complex web of influences involving the cult following of Emperor Haile Selassie, collaboration with the Orthodox Church, and a dearth of widespread education. Astonishingly, it appears that both the ruling elites and their subordinates are complicit in this grand deception, contributing to the imminent collapse that is gathering pace.

For Ethiopia to navigate through this tumultuous period and secure its survival, it must confront its truths, acknowledge its demons, and embrace facts. Despite the efforts of aggrieved opposition groups to advocate for truth and justice, few are willing to confront reality, particularly those in positions of power. Instead, the ruling political class perpetuates the deception, rewriting history to serve their interests, further eroding trust and distorting reality, thereby exacerbating the empire’s existing problems.

Ethiopia’s purported 3000-year history is a myth perpetuated by politicians and vested interests. Contrary to actively popularized belief, the name “Ethiopia” is a relatively recent development, emerging less than a century ago. It was Emperor Haile Selassie’s first Constitution promulgated in 1931 that recognized Ethiopia as the official name of the country. Before its rebranding following World War II, it was referred to as Abyssinia. Notably, the name “Ethiopia” does not appear in the records of the League of Nations, the first global intergovernmental organization established on January 10, 1920. Instead, it was registered as Abyssinia when it joined the League on September 28, 1923.

It is worth noting that while Abyssinia, particularly its northern regions, may indeed boast a history spanning 2000 years, starting with the Axumite Kingdom during the first Christian century, the Axumite Kingdom did not expand to most of the southern and eastern and western parts of what is today Ethiopia. In fact, the southern regions of Ethiopia were annexed through Emperor Menelik’s brutal colonial conquest during the 1880s and 1890s. Therefore, the historical narrative that may apply to Abyssinia does not encompass the entire territory of modern-day Ethiopia, and a falsehood pushed into public consciousness.

This is perhaps the most significant lie of all and is responsible for much of the turmoil today. During the Scramble for Africa, Emperor Menelik of Abyssinia received assistance from European colonizers to acquire armaments, which he then used the unbeknown gunpower against the unawares to expand into the southern territories of Biyya Oromo (today’s Oromia), the Southern regions, Benshangul, and beyond. The same forces that created African colonies like Kenya, Somalia, Sudan, and Uganda also led to the creation of territories like Biyya Oromo and the Southern regions. However, the crucial difference lies in the fact that while African colonies have long been liberated, Emperor Menelik’s conquests persist as colonies to this day.

Regrettably, Ethiopia’s significant falsehoods are reinforced even by foreign dignitaries, who often lack caution in their statements, spanning from South Sudan to South Africa and beyond. It is telling to observe the speeches made by neighboring heads of government at Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s inauguration after the 2020 election. Furthermore, numerous YouTubers propagate the notion of Ethiopia never being colonized, thereby perpetuating these significant falsehoods.

Ethiopia is not merely a country but an empire, comprised of diverse ethnic groups that were once independent nations before being annexed by Menelik. This diversity, with over 80 ethnic groups, underscores the empire’s complex historical and cultural tapestry.

Emperor Menelik and Emperor Haile Selassie propagated the myth of Ethiopia as a “Christian Island,” fostering a foreign policy based on a special relationship with Western countries. However, this narrative even masks the discrimination faced by Muslim citizens within the empire.

You only need to look at the recent inauguration of the Adwa Museum and the 128th anniversary of the Adwa victory to understand this point. Many lies have been told amounting to rewriting of history. Although Italy was defeated at Adwa in 1886, that gave Menelik the leverage to annex and extend his domains beyond Abyssinia. While it may be a cause for celebration for some, it sparks immense resentment, among others. There is no consensus or shared history regarding the Adwa victory.

Moreover, Ethiopia has a dark history of slave trade and poor race relations. To witness this firsthand, one need only look to South Africa, where descendants of the Oromo slaves traded by Menelik can be found. For further insight, Dr Sandra Rowoldt Shell’s book, “Children of Hope: The Odyssey of the Oromo Slaves from Ethiopia to South Africa,” provides valuable documentation. Despite the narratives often heard about Ethiopia, its racial dynamics remain largely unexamined on a global scale. It is not an exaggeration to assert that Ethiopia may among the most racially divided nations on Earth. The country requires substantial intervention to address its past atrocities and rectify its injustices. It is a nation where egregious crimes have been committed, where blacks subjugated and enslaved other blacks, and where unspeakable acts of genocide were perpetrated against other black communities.

This assertion is entirely false, and the previous points debunk this falsehood. While certain regions, such as the southern or northernmost parts due to geographic proximity, may share some common culture and history, Ethiopia is by no means monolithic as the big lie suggests. Each ethnic group, nationality, and nation within the empire possesses its own proud history and heritage.

Through the implementation of genuine federalism and good governance, Ethiopia has the potential to leverage this diverse mosaic to its advantage. However, promoting a narrative of a common history is not only deceptive but also disingenuous. Instead of confronting its bitter truths, revisionists intoxicated by events like the Adwa Museum inauguration are actively rewriting history and altering the school curriculum to suit their agenda.

In short, the significant challenge lies in addressing the root causes that have allowed the propagation of the BIG LIES: the courage to confront the truth and devise a peace-making and reconciliation plan with a genuine chance of lasting success. The culture entrenched within the historically privileged elites is characterized by a toxic combination of Hubris and Ignorance, where denialism reigns supreme. They adamantly dismiss ethnic-based federalism as the source of societal ills and advocate for its elimination, effectively advocating for maintaining the status quo that has persisted for a century and a half. Meanwhile, community leaders and elders, as well as lawmakers, are silenced by fear of repercussions, unable to openly express their true thoughts.

Even institutions like the peace and reconciliation commission lack bold, transformative ideas, as they adhere to an Ethiopianist agenda out of fear of exploring uncomfortable truths. Consequently, the aggrieved groups on the opposite side are unfairly labeled as troublemakers and even designated as terrorist organizations. Thus, Ethiopia is denied the opportunity to confront its harsh realities and grapple with its demons to achieve lasting peace. This status quo must change.

Only through sincere self-reflection and a steadfast commitment to justice and equality can Ethiopia break free from the deceptive foundations that bind it and pave the way toward a brighter future. The persisting challenges in Ethiopia demand a paradigm shift towards acknowledging uncomfortable truths, fostering genuine reconciliation, and empowering marginalized voices.

In the Ethiopian empire, short of full independence for those poised to consider it, it is evident that true Federalism stands as the sole arrangement capable of maintaining Ethiopia within its boundaries. The solutions must emerge from confronting harsh realities; mere superficial solutions will not suffice.

In the arduous pursuit of truth, acknowledging reality may evoke profound apprehension for some, yet for others, it is the only pathway to justice. Embracing truth alone can establish a lasting foundation; anything less will perpetuate turmoil indefinitely.

Addressing the long-standing Oromo political situation is of paramount importance, given its overdue nature and significance as an economic hub with potential repercussions on the broader region. The progressive resolution of the Oromo case also holds promise for resolving similar political stalemates in other regions, carrying various positive implications.

Contrary to addressing the Oromo issue, recent government narratives suggest a disappointing backtrack. Through their spokesperson, Birhanu Jula, who doubles as a soldier and politician, the Prosperity Party (PP) government now claims to have resolved the Oromo questions and even goes as far as characterizing OLA freedom fighters as rogue groups. What tangible actions has this government taken regarding the Oromo questions since assuming power in 2018, following the Oromo Protests of 2014-2018? The exposure of the “Koree Nageenyaa” killing squad by Reuters investigative reporting (Feb. 23, 2024) serves as confirmation of the government’s actions concerning the Oromo case. They have been involved in burning Oromo dwellings, incarcerating, and killing thousands of Oromos, even executing family members of freedom fighters to discourage others from joining OLA.

In summary, the events since 2018 have been unprecedented, with the PP government committing more atrocities and heinous crimes in five years than preceding regimes did during their decades-long reigns. For those labeling this government as an “Oromo Government”, reconsider. While they may speak the Oromo language, they are arguably the most anti-Oromo government, betraying the Oromo people to cling to power.

The government’s laughable narratives are rooted in a desperate grasp for power at any cost, disregarding efforts to mitigate chaos and facilitate negotiation for lasting peace. They urge patience until the next election cycle, as if the previous one was fair and transparent, despite incarcerating all opposition candidates to present themselves as the sole candidates in Oromia.

Furthermore, recent actions demonstrate the Prime Minister assembling elders and community leaders and blaming them for harboring OLA fighters. He claims readiness for negotiation, shifting blame onto others for the lack of peace talks. A government with control over banks and military resources, including drone strikes in marketplaces, accuses freedom fighters of disrupting developmental programs in conflict areas. The PM demands that community leaders produce all freedom fighters for negotiation, insinuating they are complicit in hiding them.

It is disheartening to witness the power-hungry PP politicians exacerbating the Oromo issue rather than acting as solution architects. The sentiment echoed by many within the Oromo community is clear: there can be no lasting peace within the Ethiopian empire without genuine recognition of the Oromo people’s right to self-determination. The younger generation, fueled by a desire for justice and autonomy, stands resolute in their demand for a political settlement that respects the fundamental rights of the Oromo people. Any attempt at reconciliation or negotiation that falls short of addressing this core demand is bound to be met with continued resistance and unrest. It is imperative for the Prosperity Party government to acknowledge and engage meaningfully with the aspirations of the Oromo people if they truly seek a path towards lasting peace and stability in Ethiopia.

Your legacy as a Nobel Laureate hangs in the balance, poised to be judged by history for presiding over a series of civil conflicts wherein the regular army, tanks, fighter jets, and drones were deployed against your own citizens. Yet, there exists an opportunity to alter this trajectory for the greater good. It is never too late to pursue the path of lasting peace. The remedy lies in Ethiopia’s willingness to confront its realities head-on.

Your task is undoubtedly challenging, tasked with aligning with the Ethiopian agenda. However, it is imperative to acknowledge that Ethiopia’s complex issues cannot be resolved by merely preserving the status quo. Adopting a mindset of “forgive and forget and carry on with your lives” falls far short of addressing the deep-seated issues Ethiopia must confront head-on.

The dedication and perseverance demonstrated by the United States, embodied through your esteemed leadership, is truly commendable. Your pivotal role in striving for peace and fostering much-needed development in the Horn of Africa does not go unnoticed. It is unnecessary to emphasize to you the crucial role that historical facts and truths play in the resolution of conflicts.

The collective aspiration of all nations is to enjoy the freedoms and democratic principles exemplified by your esteemed nation. If the model of true federalism has proven effective within the United States, there exists ample reason to believe it can likewise benefit Ethiopia. The United States stands as a living testament to what can be achieved through embracing such principles. In short, Ethiopia’s sustainability as a cohesive nation hinges not just on preserving its current Federal system but also on fortifying and refining it to better address the diverse needs of its nations and nationalities. Any endeavor to revert Ethiopia to its pre-1991 unitary state not only risks exacerbating existing tensions but also accelerates the process of disintegration of the current setup. Thus, it is imperative not only to uphold the Federal structure but also to actively seek ways to enhance its efficacy, ensuring equitable representation and governance across all regions and ethnic groups.

Drawing inspiration from the successes of others is not only prudent but essential in navigating complex challenges. We humbly urge you to utilize your esteemed position to help quell the flames that threaten to engulf Ethiopia, thereby facilitating a path toward peace and prosperity for all its citizens.

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